MEDIUMspike · 60 min6d ago

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Iran leadership change by June 30? moved down 6.5 percentage points to 17.5%. Review this medium spike alert on Polymarket Insight.

Probability

24.0%to17.5%

Move

-6.5pp

Volume

$97.2K

Detected

Apr 6, 2026, 2:09 PM UTC

Probability history

12h leading into the alert

No additional detector notes were attached to this alert.

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https://polymarket-insight.org/alerts/12570

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